Table of doom update
Arsenal Now 53 Max. 95
Manchester City Now 47 Max. 89
Aston Villa Now 46 Max. 88
Manchester United Now 41 Max 83
Chelsea Now 40 Max. 82
Liverpool Now 39 Max. 81
Fixtures
Arsenal: Chelsea H Man City A
Man City: Liverpool A Chelsea H Arsenal H Villa A
Aston Villa: Chelsea H Man Utd A Liverpool H Man City A
Man Utd: Villa H Chelsea A Liverpool H
Chelsea: Arsenal A Villa A Man City H Man Utd H Liverpool A
Liverpool: Man City H Man Utd A Chelsea H Villa A
A good start
Man Utd may be looking for a win here to cut the deficit
So now we are the only team in the top three to get 3 points leaving us six and seven points in front of the next two. Man Utd were lucky as were Chelsea. Liverpool, after a shaky start won comfortably. We can now afford to lose 2 from 14 as long as a loss is not against City. There is currently 8 points between the chasing bunch which is tight enough. Man Utd will be aware that if they can keep up their strong run when they play Villa on 14th March they can cut the deficit to two points and that is not impossible.
Not losing against City could be key
In essence the lower chasing bunch only need City and Villa to wobble and they have a chance. But they need Arsenal to collapse with realistically the equivalent of at least 5 defeats from 14. A win against Sunderland would be very welcome, particularly as Liverpool play City. One or both have to drop points. Utd, home against the Spuds, would be favourites and Chelsea, away to Wolves also. Villa away to Bournemouth looks a bit trickier with Villa’s injuries but again favourites. If Liverpool, Utd and Chelsea win and Villa drop points, the chasing bunch will be more bunched. If the main thing they need is an Arsenal collapse, then one of the five could sprint, even Liverpool. But even so, they must pretty much win all, surely, to have any chance?
Can we win 4 trophies?
In our favour is that probably only one of those teams can win all as they all have games against each other. Chelsea can do themselves the most favours by winning all. They have 5 six pointers to come. That is a match we could really do with winning as surely Chelsea will not lose all against them? I believe our two matches against Chelsea and City are must not lose and a great bonus with two wins.
Beating Chelsea again would be very significant
After beating Chelsea we are now in the Wembley final and 27 matches to win all. We could potentially lose 3 in the CL and still win it. I would guess around 4 in the Premier League and still win it. 20 wins between now and the end of the season could see us producing a miracle that will never be seen again. Or we could get nothing. Ah, what it is to be a football fan.
We can win it early
No Collapse this year
Once again, I reiterate what you are all thinking, City can catch us, they win one, we lose one and they are right behind us. Villa similar. The bottom three have a far tougher task. But we may need those bottom three to get points from Villa and City, if we wobble, and I think they will. We can afford 4 losses and a draw and still get to 81 points and that was the revised target I set last week. That would be more like a bad wobble than a collapse. It is in our hands, now we must show the character and win, win win. We have 4 matches in May, starting against Fulham. We could, and I believe should have won it by then. 4 victory marches would be nice.

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