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No Table of Doom this year Liverpool Max 99 points Arsenal Max 92 points Target 88 points As regular readers will know, early on I reckoned that the target this season would be 92 points. I then shifted that down to 88 as virtually no teams could get there some time ago and I can’t have a table of doom without teams in it. And once again, with 13 games to go, I am in the same position. Only Liverpool and Arsenal can get 88 points. I feel that I can’t drop it any more as Liverpool can drop 11 points and reach that and they probably will at least do that. That leaves two teams in the table of doom and only one match at Anfield between them on the third last match. It means that if Arsenal win all Liverpool can still get 96. May or may not be our biggest game this season What can we say for now? Forest can get 86 if they win all 13 matches. They are out, simple as that. They won’t do that and Liverpool won’t lose enough points to get close to Forest’s final tally. We play Newcastle at home and Southampton away after Liverpool. Both winnable despite the fact that both teams have caused us blips in recent years. Liverpool play Brighton away and Palace at home, both also winnable. They seem to have a slightly more difficult task but not much more. 3 matches to decide the title? Where I do think they have the harder task is their next 13. They play Villa and City away and Newcastle at home in their next 3. We play West Ham at home and Forest and Man Utd away. Certainly looks easier for us but we need 3 wins. This may be our biggest game of the season Then Chelsea and Fulham at home and Everton away for us. If all 3 are at their best it will be difficult but we probably need 3 wins. Liverpool are home to Southampton and Everton and away to Fulham. They could easily win all three. Liverpool then have home to West Ham and Tottenham and away to Leicester. We will definitely need Potter, Postecoglou and Van Nistleroy to have their teams firing by then and even so it is hard to see any points dropped. Maybe if the Spuds have all their players back? C’mon you Spurs! We have Brentford and Palace at home and Ipswich away. We can have no excuses, we must win. Maybe all games are loseable? Then we have Bournemouth at home, Liverpool away, and Newcastle and Southampton as mentioned. They have Chelsea away, then us, Brighton and Palace. We must beat them to start the mindgames Probably the most crucial for both teams is the next 3 matches. If Liverpool win all 3, then I doubt if we can catch them even if we win 3. If Unai Emery can get Villa playing like they do against us they might just get a point. It is tomorrow so a failure to win gives us a great chance to put a lot of pressure on them before they play City on Sunday. We have West Ham on Saturday. As they have 2 matches we will spend a period with a game in hand. Can we get inside Liverpool's heads? We have to beat the Hammers. No question. Potter has form against us as have the Hammers sometimes but drop points here and we have lost the chance to get into Slot’s head. Then Liverpool play City away, and last weekend against Newcastle they looked more like the old City. 4 goals and the new players gelling well. That surely is the match we are hoping for something, even a draw. Liverpool will travel all the way to Manchester, if they have dropped anything to Villa and we win against West Ham, knowing that their season could unravel with a defeat. This is the period when mindgames, that the mind plays with itself, is critical. By now, Liverpool’s players, many of whom have never won the league, will feel that it is theirs to lose. They need that cold clinical head to get them over the line. Any blip could devastate their confidence. They would know a defeat would leave them potentially only 2 points ahead. Forest away our hardest aside from the big game? But we are away to Forest, who are flying most weeks. That will be a pressure game. It seems like the hardest match other than Liverpool on our run in. A midweek win, in the scenario above, would push a hammer blow into the frailty of a team later that night then bracing to play Newcastle at home. Eddie Howe will be desperate to do well after being destroyed by Man City. They are rarely an easy team to play against. Then the following weekend we play Man Utd away and Liverpool play Southampton at home. As long as Utd are still playing rubbish we should win and Southampton scarcely have a chance at Anfield. Can Ramsdale do us a favour at Liverpool? So they will have 4 matches to our 3 at this point. After this point, while there are games Liverpool can lose, they can also probably afford to lose them if they win these 3 plus a banker against Southampton. Everything is already decided? So that is where we are. Liverpool seem to have a tougher run in. They absolutely must drop points soon or we are only scrapping for second place. Yes, Champions league looks certain at this point. There could well be a scrap for the rest of the places as even Brighton on 37 points might feel that a strong run gets them up there. I have a feeling that the points total for Champions League may not be too high as lots of teams are dropping points. I suspect the current top four of Liverpool, Arsenal, Forest and City could well make it. I will be surprised if the current top two do not remain the top 2. They are pulling away and a win for Arsenal against Forest would put them further behind. It is almost decided already? At the bottom, Southampton look doomed leaving Ipswich, Leicester and Wolves to fight it out for one spot. So in the middle of February, it looks like the bottom four are obvious as is the top two. I can’t really remember it being like this before. Sadly, no table of doom It is disappointing for me not to have a table of doom this season but unless both Arsenal and Liverpool drop a few points soon and the chasing pack start winning there is no point. Nobody believes that anyone other than Liverpool and Arsenal can win this time so there would be no tension. I will suggest that February 26th could be the marker for this season. We play Forest away and Liverpool play Newcastle at home. The league at that point could well indicate whether we can have a tight end to the season. And Arsenal will have to compete with none of our first choice forward line for that period! Did I ever say that it is tough to be an Arsenal fan?
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Edu gone – Arteta out,out,out? So Gaspar Edu is gone, on to a project encompassing many teams and possibly new ones in the future. He is ambitious, he is young enough, and I am certain his network, which is so crucial to such a role, encompasses the entire planet. Bizarrely to me, many fans are shouting good riddance already, I suspect because recent results have been below what we were expecting. Arsenal’s fans are incredibly entitled and I have written about this many times. We now expect to win every game and certainly Newcastle and Liverpool fans should have cried all the way home because we are so much better than them . Edu - a potentially great legacy destroyed Some fans seem happy Edu is gone and they are calling for Arteta out as well. Some Arsenal fans live in a parallel universe where reality is that Arsenal must win every game and the manager must go if that doesn’t happen. I live in a different reality. I have seen us spend many seasons midtable or worse. In the ‘60’s when I started we had no trophies. In the ‘70’s we had 4. In the ‘80’s 2. In the 90’s we had 6. In the 2000’s we had 5 and finally in the 2010’s we had 3. We have 1 since but we have many years to go yet before the decade is out. Does Evangelos Marinakis have a huge club up his sleeve? My point is simple. We are not Bayern Munich, or Real Madrid or Barcelona, or PSG, or Juventus, or even Celtic or Rangers. These teams have dominated their countries at various times. Their fans are the true entitled ones. There are four major trophies to aim at every year. The PL, FA Cup, League Cup and a European one if we qualify. That makes 40 in a decade. Our best is 6 since I have been a fan. That works out at 15% for our best decade and 0% our worst. It means that most seasons we have got nothing quite often. We are not entitled to success, and we need top people in charge to get it. Money, money, money? I feel Edu was top and that’s why he was headhunted. Was it money or ambition? I would reckon ambition but against that is Nottingham Forest, Olympiacos and Rio Ave? Really? Evangelos Marinakis, the Greek owner is reputed to be looking to buy a top European team but who? One of the elite mentioned in the previous chapter? It would have to be, surely, but buying a big club generally takes years of maneuverings and increasing your shareholding. Have they got one lined up? I cannot believe that any of the above three are going to eclipse Arsenal no matter how long Edu lives. Edu Robin Hood, robbing from the rich Greeks to give to the poor - himself Since Marinakis took over Forest in 2017 he has had 10 managers. Arsenal, in it’s entire history has had 20 managers. So that is a clue to why Edu has gone. Logically, money, and a huge amount of it is the attraction. Even if he gets fired he pockets lots of money and nobody really blames the football director. He will get another top job for sure. But also logically, he must have been offered a crazy amount of money, money that Arsenal weren’t willing to pay. More than Arteta, for example? Meaning that Arteta, and probably all coaching staff would have to get a raise. The Kroenke’s must have figured that Edu was not worth the salary that Marinakis was willing to pay so did not get involved in a bidding war. A wide series of talents needed For sure, he had to go straight away. Such a person could not have a foot in two camps. It is such a specialized job, you need eyes in every country for emerging talent, you need to keep abreast of all tactical elements that are evolving, you need the trust of agents worldwide, you need a gravitas so that when Edu comes calling, even top players listen, and you need a global network to run the football empire that is a modern top team. This, undoubtedly, Edu has. And probably there are few with his specialized knowledge of these areas, particularly when it comes to the greatest exporter of footballers worldwide, Brazil. Will Edu drown in the Trent beside Notts Forest City Ground? My conclusion is that unless there is a truly big club on Edu and Marinakis’s horizon, then talk of ambition being the driver is facetious. And you will never see any of the three current clubs among the elite of world football in my estimation. Forest’s capacity is around 30,000 and regarding investment, the current top clubs in England are awash with money, and neither Olympiacos nor Rio Ave can possibly become true top dogs. It really only leaves money as the driver and that surprises me. Edu seemed to be a real Gooner, and he has been totally involved in the move upwards. Bring the Maestro back Arsene Wenger didn’t want such a position to be created but Arteta warmly embraced the notion of as much help as possible. The Kroenke’s have a record of bringing in specialists to support in every department. They work on margins and even a 0.2% margin in our favour is to be welcomed. Arsene would be the greatest football director ever We will need then, a man who knows football inside out, a man respected everywhere he goes, a man who has a huge network of football people, who knows about even obscure players in obscure countries. Step forward the aforementioned Arsene Wenger! There could be no-one better. He has a great record of bringing in players and making them great. He hasn’t had too many disasters in transfers and he knows Arsenal better than any person alive. Arteta adores the man, and if Arsene Wenger is on the phone to any putative player, then they will listen. He even did a deal one time on an airport tarmac. Mikel, this is your task, bring him back! Bring him back. He will not leave us for money. I am sure the Arabs have offered him zillions but he is committed to helping Fifa evolve football worldwide. I believe he would love to come back to his true love, work with Arteta to MAGA(Make Arsenal Great Again) or even MATGEFT (Make Arsenal The Greatest Ever Football Team). BRING HIM BACK! Ps. Despite everything I wish Edu all the best. I hope he becomes a big success and he has made the right choice. He served Arsenal well and I am sure he will serve his new masters well.
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